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Arbitrum all-time high and real returns ARB

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Latest price
$0.1941 +8.18% in 24 hours
Updated · CoinGecko

Arbitrum all-time highs and real returns

In dollars and pounds, before and after inflation, since Mar 2023.

Show returns in

−87.5%Arbitrum after US inflation since Mar 2023−44.0% a year

Down 86.1% in dollars since Mar 2023. After US inflation, down 87.5%. Against money printing, down 87.5%.

In pounds, down 87.0%, or down 88.3% after UK inflation.

$ nominal
−86.1%−42.4% a year
£ nominal
−87.0%−43.4% a year
Real $ (US CPI)
−87.5%−44.0% a year
Real £ (UK CPI)
−88.3%−45.1% a year
vs US M2
−87.5%−44.1% a year
Measured from
Mar 2023to Oct 2026, 3 years 7 months
  • Arbitrum, Real $ (US CPI)$0.1930
  • $ nominal$0.1930
  • Oct 2026, latest
Highest month-end close in today's dollars (US CPI): $2.099 in Feb 2024. The latest close is 90.8% below it. The dashed line is the same asset in dollars before adjustment.
Arbitrum returns in every lens, to Oct 2026 (latest close). Each cell is the total change, with the yearly rate under it for windows of a year or more.
Period $ nominal£ nominalReal $ (US CPI)Real £ (UK CPI)vs US M2
Past year from Oct 2025 −34.6% −35.1% –a (see note a) −36.8% −37.7%
Since Mar 2023 first month in our data −86.1% −42.4% a year −87.0% −43.4% a year −87.5% −44.0% a year −88.3% −45.1% a year −87.5% −44.1% a year
  • a US CPI was not published for Oct 2025.

On month-end closes, Arbitrum's highest price was $1.945 in Feb 2024, which is $2.099 in Oct 2026 dollars after US inflation. The latest close of $0.1930 is 90.8% below the real high. The intraday record, $2.390 on 12 January 2024, is higher than any month-end close.

Cycle peaks, falls and recoveries

Month-end highs followed by a fall of 50% or more, and the high that stands today, in Oct 2026 money.

Arbitrum cycle peaks in dollars and pounds, then and in today's money, with the fall that followed and the time to recover in nominal and real terms
Peak $ then Today's $ (US CPI) £ then Today's £ (UK CPI) vs M2 today Fall after Back above, $ Back above, real $
Feb 2024 All-time high $1.945 $2.099 £1.539 £1.671 $2.170 −96.1% low Jun 2026 Not yet Not yet

Return since our first month and since each cycle low

From the month-end close in the first column to Oct 2026.

Arbitrum returns from launch and from each cycle low, in dollars, after US and UK inflation, and against M2
From $ then $ nominal Real $ (US CPI) Real £ (UK CPI) vs US M2
Mar 2023 First month in our data $1.390 −86.1% −42.4% a year −87.5% −44.0% a year −88.3% −45.1% a year −87.5% −44.1% a year
Jun 2026 Lowest since the high $0.0761 +154% +153% +152% +151%

Every month ARB closed at a new high

4 month-end closes above every earlier one
Every month-end close of Arbitrum that was above all earlier closes, in dollars then and in today's dollars
Month Close, $ Today's $ (US CPI)
Feb 2024 $1.945 $2.099
Jan 2024 $1.764 $1.915
Dec 2023 $1.561 $1.705
Mar 2023 $1.390 $1.542

How these figures are worked out

Sources, inflation measures and what is left out
  • Month-end closes from Binance, Mar 2023 to Oct 2026. Oct 2026 is still in progress, so its figure is the latest close rather than a month-end. Our history for Arbitrum starts in Mar 2023, so longer windows are left out.
  • Real figures divide by US CPI (BLS, via FRED) or UK CPI (ONS, joined to the ONS long-run RPI before Jan 1988) and are stated in Oct 2026 money. The M2 lens divides by the US M2 money supply (Federal Reserve, via FRED). Pounds convert at each month's GBP/USD rate.
  • US CPI is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
  • UK CPI is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
  • US M2 is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
  • A return of 12 months or more also shows its yearly rate. Gaps in a source are left as gaps and never filled in.

Key numbers

  • Market cap $1.3bn Rank 68
  • 24-hour volume $179.1m
  • 7 days -4.5%
  • 30 days +44.2%
  • Circulating supply 6.8bn Of a maximum 10.0bn
  • Risk level Medium
  • Listed on 4 of 5 Coinbase, Binance, Kraken, Robinhood
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Cycle position

Updated · CoinGecko
66/100
Discount, strength 4 of 5

Price 92% below ATH · greed high · funding negative · shorts crowded

Arbitrum is 92% below its all-time high while the market is greedy. The Bargain Score puts it at a meaningful discount.

Why this zone

  • Bargain Score66/100
  • Fear & Greed62
  • RSI (14-day)44.5 Neutral
  • ATH Drawdown92%
  • Resilience (ORS)Weak
  • Risk LevelMedium

Bargain Score 66/100

How cheap?HVD30%88
Market fearSES20%35
PositioningPIS20%80
Structural healthORS15%39
Supply safetyTQS15%68
  • Deep Drawdown
  • Negative Funding

Between ATL and ATH

ATL $0.0705−91.9% from ATH · +175% above ATLATH $2.39
ATH
$2.39 · 12 Jan 2024
ATL
$0.0705 · 26 Jun 2026
Risk level
Medium
ATH chance
70% · High

Past drawdowns and recoveries

Model timeline (from past cycles): 6–18 months

Past drawdowns and recoveries for Arbitrum
PeakLowFallRecovered in
7 Mar 202415 Aug 2026−96.6%Not yet

Compare all 54 coins in the screener How the scores work

Why it sits in this zone

With a Bargain Score of 66, Arbitrum is in the Discount zone: enough buy-side conditions line up, among them Price 92% below ATH, greed high and funding negative, but not all of the strict ones the Deep discount zone needs. At 92% below the $2.39 it reached in January 2024, Arbitrum would need roughly a 12-fold rise to get back to its high, and it has been below that level for two years and nine months.

What drives the score

Once the weights are applied, price distress (0.88 out of 1) adds the most to its score and project resilience (0.39) the least. It has come through one full market cycle by the model's definition, and its chance of a new all-time high is rated High. As a base-layer or scaling network, it tends to move with the rotation of money between large networks in a bull market, usually after Bitcoin.

Where the cycle targets come from

A smaller repeat of Arbitrum's past range would not get it back to its old high, so the model anchors the cycle targets to that high instead, at $2.51, $2.75 and $3.11, and even the low scenario would need a 1,193% move from today's price.

FAQ

Arbitrum: questions people ask

What was Arbitrum's all-time high in today's money?

Arbitrum's highest recorded price was $2.390 on 12 January 2024, from CoinGecko's record of intraday trades. Restated with US CPI to Oct 2026, that is $2.596 in today's dollars. In pounds it was £1.877 at the time, or £2.050 after UK inflation.

On month-end closes, which is what our tables use, the peak was $1.945 in Feb 2024, worth $2.099 today. The latest price is 90.8% below the real high.

Has Arbitrum beaten inflation since Mar 2023?

Our monthly history for Arbitrum starts in March 2023. Since then it is down 86.1% in dollars and down 87.5% after US inflation, so it has not kept up with inflation over that stretch. Measured in pounds after UK CPI the figure is down 88.3%. Against the US M2 money supply it is down 87.5%.

How long did Arbitrum take to recover from past crashes?

After the Feb 2024 peak of $1.945 it fell 96.1% by Jun 2026, and has not closed above that high since. In real terms it has not recovered.

These use month-end closes, so intraday highs and lows were more extreme.

How far is Arbitrum below its all-time high?

Arbitrum is 91.9% below its all-time high of $2.39, which it set on 12 January 2024, and its all-time low is $0.0705, from June 2026. Getting back to the high from today's price of $0.1941 would take a rise of about 1,132%. These figures come from CoinGecko and refresh every five minutes.

What is Arbitrum's Bargain Score?

The Bargain Score is 65.5 out of 100 (Meaningful discount). It combines the discount from the previous high, market sentiment, momentum and the coin's track record across past cycles. On our zone scale that places Arbitrum in the Discount zone: Price 92% below ATH · greed high · funding negative · shorts crowded. This describes current conditions; it is not a recommendation.

What do the Arbitrum cycle scenarios assume?

Low cycle target $2.510 (Previous ATH + 5% (the model’s cycle multiple lands below the previous high).). Base cycle target $2.749 (Previous ATH + 15%: a return to the previous high (the model’s cycle multiple lands below it).). High cycle target $3.107 (Previous ATH + 30% (the model’s cycle multiple lands below the previous high).). Each is the price the coin would reach if a smaller version of its past cycle repeated, not a loss case. They come from a model of past cycles and can be badly wrong.

How fearful is the crypto market right now?

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index reads 62 (Greed). Low readings mean fear, high readings mean greed. The Bargain Score uses it as one input, because past cycle lows tended to arrive during extreme fear.

What zone is Arbitrum in today?

Arbitrum sits in the Discount zone with a Bargain Score of 66, meeting at least three of the model's buy-side conditions (Price 92% below ATH, greed high and funding negative). Rather than a recommendation, the label is a reading of where Arbitrum's price and the wider market sit against the model's rules at this moment, and because the Fear & Greed value and the daily RSI both update at midnight UTC, just after midnight is when it is most likely to change. The 4-dot meter beside it shows where that zone sits on the five-step scale, from one dot for Expensive to five for Deep discount.

How long have Arbitrum's past recoveries taken?

Arbitrum has had one earlier fall of 50% or more in our price history: after its $2.16 peak in March 2024 it fell 97% and has not closed above that level since. Those are the only data points we have for this coin, which is too few to say anything reliable about the next recovery, since market conditions, supply and competition are different each cycle and some coins never regain a previous high.

What are the cycle targets for Arbitrum?

The model starts from Arbitrum's full range, its all-time high of $2.39 divided by its all-time low of $0.0705, which is roughly 33.9-fold. It shrinks that multiple with a decay factor, on the assumption that each cycle is smaller than the last, and applies it from the low. For Arbitrum that reduced repeat would not reach the old high, so the targets are anchored just above it instead, at $2.51, $2.75 and $3.11, which puts the low scenario 1,193% above today's price. They describe what a reduced repeat of the past would look like and say nothing about whether that will happen. Cryptoassets are high risk, and you should be prepared to lose all the money you put into them.

Important information

Don't invest unless you're prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong.

Cryptoassets are largely unregulated in the UK, so you are unlikely to have access to the Financial Ombudsman Service or the Financial Services Compensation Scheme if something goes wrong. Educational information only, not financial advice. Read our disclaimer.

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