About this screener
Key takeaways
- Each of the 54 coins gets a Bargain Score from 0 to 100 and one of five zones, and the whole list is rebuilt every five minutes so it never lags the market by much.
- Of the five sub-scores in the blend, distance below the all-time high carries the most weight, at 30%, because a price that has fallen a long way and stayed down is what a bargain hunter is looking for.
- A zone also needs the market to agree: the Deep discount zone stays empty until Fear & Greed is 25 or below.
- Zones describe conditions against fixed rules. They are not forecasts or advice, and every formula is on the methodology page.
This screener started life as a separate site, cryptopredictionsmarket.com, which David Bryan built and still uses for his own research. He describes the original as "incredibly powerful" but "overwhelming", and that is a fair summary of why we moved it here in October 2026: the model was worth keeping, but it needed to sit beside the rest of our market data, be checked the same way and be easier to read.
Most of the 54 coins on it have spent years below the highs they set in 2021 or 2024, and what the screener tries to show is which of those discounts come with a frightened market, a supply that is mostly already out and a project people still trade, as opposed to the ones that are cheap because everybody has quietly left.
For each coin the model weighs distance below the all-time high against Fear & Greed, RSI, derivatives positioning and circulating supply, giving a Bargain Score from 0 to 100 and a zone that sets its price against its usual range at the same point in its cycle. Scores compare each coin with its own past cycles. Educational, not advice. As of 14 Oct, 01:01 BST the Fear & Greed Index reads 62 (Greed) and Bitcoin is 34.1% below its high.
What the October 2026 check found
Before the move, on 10 October 2026, we compared all 52 live prices and all-time highs on the old site with CoinGecko and every one matched.
The same check found that three coins had vanished because CoinGecko had changed their IDs (maple became syrup, jasmy-coin became jasmycoin, and mumu-the-bull was replaced), and that the "All Ranked" list was not actually sorted: Ravencoin, with the highest score of 60, sat 35th of 36. Here every ID is validated on each refresh, every figure carries its timestamp, and lists are sorted by the number they show.
In this guide
How the scores work
Every formula and data source behind the Bargain Score and the zones, checked against the code.
Read the methodology How to read the zones
The zones came across from the original tool, which used seven internal signals.
The zones came across from the original tool, which used seven internal signals. On this page they are grouped into five: Deep discount, Discount, Mild discount, Fair value, which takes in the old hold and caution signals, and Expensive, which takes in both sell signals.
On the old site those signals were named with trading words, and we dropped them on 12 October 2026 for the five names here, which say what the model measures, the coin's price compared with its usual range at the same point in its cycle, without telling anyone what to do about it. Even then a label is only ever a reading of the price and the market against the rules at that moment, and when Fear & Greed swings between, say, 40 and 60 in a week, the same coin can change zone two or three times.
The five dots beside it show where the zone sits on that scale, five for Deep discount down to one for Expensive.
Because the sell side is checked first, a coin at 60% or more of its low cycle target while Fear & Greed is 55 or higher drops to the lower end of Fair value, or to Expensive at 80% of the target or within 5% of its all-time high, even with a respectable Bargain Score, because in 2017 and again in 2021 that combination turned up shortly before the steepest falls.
Only if none of that applies does the model move on to the buy side, and there it starts with the strictest test.
That test is why the Deep discount zone was empty on 10 October 2026, when the index read 64, up from 59 the day before. It needs Fear & Greed at 25 or below, an RSI of 30 or below, a score of 75 or more and a project that passes the risk and resilience checks, all at once.
In alternative.me's history the index has mostly been that low around crashes such as March 2020 and through the long slide of 2022, so with it in the 50s or 60s a deeply discounted coin gets as far as Discount or Mild discount and stops. We would rather leave the top zone empty for months than loosen it until it fires every week.
The five zone rules
| Zone | Conditions |
|---|---|
| Deep discount | Bargain Score of 75 or more, Fear & Greed at 25 or below, RSI at 30 or below, a risk level that is not High, and a resilience (ORS) reading of at least 0.50. All five have to hold at once. |
| Discount | At least three of: Bargain Score 65+, Fear & Greed 40 or below, RSI 35 or below, an accumulation tier (score 60+), price more than 70% below its all-time high. Buy-side strength must also be above 0.45. |
| Mild discount | At least two of: Bargain Score 55+, Fear & Greed 45 or below, RSI 40 or below, price more than 50% below its all-time high, with buy-side strength above 0.35. |
| Fair value | Neither the buy-side nor the sell-side conditions are met, which is where most coins sit in a calm or mildly greedy market (zone score 30–39). The lower end of Fair value, scores 20–29, needs at least two of price at 60% or more of the low cycle target, Fear & Greed 55+, RSI 60+, Bargain Score 30 or below, with sell-side strength above 0.40. |
| Expensive | Either at least two of: price at 80% or more of the low cycle target, Fear & Greed 60+, RSI 65+, price within 5% of its all-time high (with sell-side strength above 0.5); or price at 90% of the base cycle target while Fear & Greed is 75+ and RSI is 70+. |
What the Bargain Score measures
The Bargain Score comes out of what the original code calls the Contrarian Accumulation Model.
The Bargain Score comes out of what the original code calls the Contrarian Accumulation Model. It blends five sub-scores, each from 0 to 1: historical value distress (HVD) at 30%, sentiment (SES) and derivatives positioning (PIS) at 20% each, and resilience (ORS) and token supply (TQS) at 15% each. Distress has the biggest share because it is what a bargain hunter is actually looking for, a price that has fallen a long way and stayed down.
Sentiment and positioning are there because in past cycles a discount that came with fear and crowded short selling has tended to sit nearer a low than one that turned up in a calm market, and resilience and supply mostly stop the score rewarding a coin that is cheap for a structural reason.
On top of the blend sit two rules, the first of which caps the blend at 60 if a coin trades less than 1% of its market value in a day, because a thinly traded token can look cheap simply because nobody is dealing in it. After that the whole score goes up by 15% when Fear & Greed is under 30 and the coin is more than half below its high, and down by 15% when the index is over 75.
So a mid-sized coin 85% below its high, sitting near its low, with fear at 20 and 90% of its supply circulating, will usually land somewhere in the 70s, and the same coin in a greedy market drops into the 50s. Every formula is on the methodology page if you want to check the arithmetic.
The five sub-scores
| Sub-score and weight | What it measures |
|---|---|
| HVD, historical value distress (30%) | Distance below the all-time high, closeness to the all-time low, and how long ago the high was set, over a four-year window. |
| SES, sentiment extreme (20%) | Fear & Greed, an oversold RSI, and the perpetual funding rate where one exists. |
| PIS, positioning imbalance (20%) | The long/short ratio on OKX. Crowded shorts score higher; crowded longs score lower. Neutral when there is no contract. |
| ORS, on-chain resilience (15%) | Trading liquidity, how far the price has recovered from its low, and time since the low; developer and community data are added when available. |
| TQS, tokenomic quality (15%) | Circulating supply as a share of maximum supply. Lower means more tokens still to come. |
The market cycle phase panel
Above the table, one panel estimates where the market as a whole sits in its cycle.
Above the table, one panel estimates where the market as a whole sits in its cycle. It starts from the Fear & Greed Index and adds four averages taken across the tracked coins: two about price, which are the distance below all-time highs and RSI, and two from the model itself, which are the mix of zones and the Bargain Score. Today it reads Bull Market with 6% confidence. It is the panel David found most convincing when he used the old site.
In his words from 10 October 2026: "we shouldn't be in a bull market according to traditional BTC cycles but we are and this chart even shows it as such despite timing so it works."
The old version did undermine that a little, because its halving dates and its "BTC peaked $109k Jan 2025" line were typed into the code; CoinGecko's figure is $126,080 on 6 October 2025, so the panel now works those facts out from data on every refresh. Confidence drops when the five readings disagree, which tends to happen in the months either side of a turn, and that is when the phase label deserves the least weight.
FAQ
Questions about the screener
What does Deep discount mean on this page?
All five of the model's strictest conditions have to be true at the same moment. The Bargain Score has to be 75 or more and the Fear & Greed Index 25 or lower, the RSI has to be 30 or lower, the risk level cannot be High, and the resilience score needs to be at least 0.50. In everyday terms that is a deeply discounted coin in a frightened market after heavy recent selling, where the project still shows some signs of life.
We call it a zone and describe it as a set of conditions, rather than anything stronger, because history does not let us say more than that. Plenty of coins would have met something very like it in June 2022, and a lot of them went on to fall further when FTX collapsed that November.
Why are there 0 coins in the Deep discount zone today?
Mostly because of the market's mood rather than anything about the coins. The Fear & Greed Index is 62 right now and the Deep discount zone needs it at 25 or below, so while it is higher than that the zone stays empty however cheap individual coins look.
In calmer or greedier markets the deepest discounts land in the Discount zone (15 coins today) and the Mild discount zone (30) instead. We have kept the rule strict rather than loosen it to fill the zone, because a label that appears every week stops telling you anything.
Does a high Bargain Score mean a coin is going to rise?
No, and we would be uneasy about the screener if people read it that way. The score is built entirely from where a coin stands against its own past and against today's market, so it can stay high for years while the price keeps drifting lower. The Graph is the example we would point to on our own list.
It set its high in February 2021, and when we checked on 10 October 2026 it was still 99% below it, more than five and a half years later, and we do not think anything in a model that looks backwards could have told someone in 2022 that the slide would go on that long.
The resilience sub-score, the liquidity gate and the structural-collapse rule in the risk level are all there to tell a temporary sell-off from a project that has lost its market, and we think they help a bit.
When we went back through the coins on this list, though, the events that did the most damage were ones the price history gave no hint of beforehand. Axie Infinity lost around $600 million in the Ronin bridge hack of March 2022, and Binance delisted Monero in February 2024; neither reached the score until it had moved the price.
That is a large part of why every formula is on the methodology page, since we would rather you could see for yourself how much weight the score deserves than take it on trust. Cryptoassets are high risk and largely unregulated in the UK, and anyone buying them should be prepared to lose all the money they put in.
How often is the data updated?
Prices, highs and lows, market values and derivatives data are fetched again every five minutes, when the main snapshot is rebuilt, and Fear & Greed is read on the same run, although alternative.me only publishes a new value once a day, at midnight UTC. RSI and the charts depend on daily price history, which arrives more slowly, on a rotation that reaches each coin about every 30 minutes, and the project health figures from GitHub are refreshed hourly.
The "delayed" badge, which appears when the latest snapshot is more than 15 minutes old, is there because of something the October 2026 check turned up. The old site stamped "Just now" on whatever data it had as soon as the page loaded, even when that data was several minutes old, and with prices that can move as fast as some of these do we did not want to repeat it.
Why these 54 coins?
The list was put together by hand around eight market narratives, from layer 1 networks to meme coins, with a deliberate mix of large and small market values so that the screener shows how differently they behave. Every coin on it has been through at least part of a market cycle and still trades on major exchanges, and each theme has its own page with an explainer and a ranking. It is not an index, and it is not a shortlist of recommendations.
Keeping the list intact turned out to need more care than we expected. By October 2026 the old site was only showing 52 of its 55 coins, because CoinGecko had changed three IDs and the old code simply dropped any coin it could not find. Maple Finance, which now trades as SYRUP, was one of them. The refresh job here checks every ID on each run, so a renamed coin raises a warning for us to fix instead of quietly disappearing from the page. In October 2026 we took Mumu the Bull off the list for good, because its history was only available from one source and too often failed to load.
What is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index and why does it carry so much weight?
alternative.me publishes it once a day as a number from 0, extreme fear, to 100, extreme greed, built from market volatility and momentum along with social media activity, Bitcoin's share of the market and search trends. In this model it turns up three times: as half of the sentiment sub-score, as a condition in the rules for all five zones, and as the trigger for the 15% regime adjustment to the Bargain Score.
That is a lot of weight for one index and it is there on purpose, because the model is contrarian by design and the clearest pattern in crypto's short history is that the best-discounted prices have tended to appear when most people were scared.
The cost is that one external number can move every coin's zone on the same day. On 10 October 2026 the index went from 59 to 64 overnight, and since 60 is one of the Expensive conditions, any coin that already had one other sell-side condition could change zone on that alone, without its own price doing anything.
Why can a coin 95% below its high score lower than one that is 60% down?
Because drawdown is only part of one sub-score. Historical value distress, worth 30% of the total, mixes the drawdown with how close the price is to its all-time low and how long ago the high was set. A coin that is 95% down but has bounced well off its low gets less credit for proximity to the low than one that is sitting on it.
The other four sub-scores can then pull the other way. Picture a small gaming token 99% below its 2021 peak, trading $100,000 a day against a market value of $30 million. That is well under the 1% daily turnover the liquidity gate looks for, so its blend is capped at 60 before anything else happens, and even a fear-market boost only takes it to about 69.
Say only 40% of its maximum supply is out as well: the supply score is then 0.40, because the other 60% is still to come. It will also trip the structural-collapse rule in the risk level, being more than 95% down with a market value under $1 billion, and that alone can keep it out of the Deep discount zone when every other condition is met.
Compare that with a large network that is 60% down, trades heavily every day, has nearly all of its supply in circulation and has an active futures market where traders are short, and it can easily come out ahead. We think that is the right result, because the coin that has fallen furthest is often the one with the least left holding it up, and the model is trying to find discounts on coins that are still being used and traded.
Who runs this screener, and is it financial advice?
David Bryan runs OutsmartMoney.ai as a non-commercial educational project under InnovatingTech, which is simply the name he uses for his personal projects rather than a company. He built the original screener because he wanted it for his own research, and it is published here so other people can see how it works, not to sell anything.
Nobody involved is a financial adviser and the site is not authorised or regulated by the FCA, so nothing on it is a recommendation to buy or sell, and the zones describe model conditions rather than giving personal advice. If something looks wrong, you can reach us at info@outsmartmoney.ai.
Important information
Don't invest unless you're prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong.
Cryptoassets are largely unregulated in the UK, so you are unlikely to have access to the Financial Ombudsman Service or the Financial Services Compensation Scheme if something goes wrong. Educational information only, not financial advice. Read our disclaimer.
The crypto cycle in more depth
- Market mood Crypto Fear & Greed Index Today's reading and every daily value since 2018, with how fear and greed lined up with Bitcoin's cycles.
- Bitcoin cycle Bitcoin halving countdown The next halving estimated from block times, and every past halving beside the cycle peak that followed.
- Real returns Bitcoin real returns Bitcoin's highs and drawdowns restated after US and UK inflation and against money printing.
- Real returns Real returns for every asset Shares, gold and crypto measured against inflation in dollars and pounds, and against money printing.