Stock · Crypto-linked shares
Coinbase real return vs inflation and money printing COIN
Coinbase Global Inc. The largest US cryptocurrency exchange. Its revenue rises and falls with crypto trading activity.
Key numbers
- 1-month change
- +3.8%
- Volatility (30-day, annualised)
- 74.2%
Coinbase real return after inflation and money printing
In dollars and pounds, before and after inflation, since Apr 2021.
−52.0%Coinbase after US inflation since Apr 2021−12.5% a year
Down 39.7% in dollars since Apr 2021. After US inflation, down 52.0%. Against money printing, down 47.9%.
In pounds, down 37.0%, or down 51.7% after UK inflation.
- $ nominal
- −39.7%−8.8% a year
- £ nominal
- −37.0%−8.1% a year
- Real $ (US CPI)
- −52.0%−12.5% a year
- Real £ (UK CPI)
- −51.7%−12.4% a year
- vs US M2
- −47.9%−11.2% a year
- Measured from
- Apr 2021to Oct 2026, 5 years 6 months
- Coinbase, Real $ (US CPI)$179.40
- $ nominal$179.40
- Oct 2026, latest
Loading the chart. Every figure is also in the table below.
| Period | $ nominal | £ nominal | Real $ (US CPI) | Real £ (UK CPI) | vs US M2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Past year from Oct 2025 | −47.8% | −48.2% | –a (see note a) | −49.6% | −50.3% |
| 5 years from Oct 2021 | −43.8% −10.9% a year | −41.9% −10.3% a year | −53.6% −14.2% a year | −54.1% −14.4% a year | −49.1% −12.6% a year |
| Since Apr 2021 first month in our data | −39.7% −8.8% a year | −37.0% −8.1% a year | −52.0% −12.5% a year | −51.7% −12.4% a year | −47.9% −11.2% a year |
- a US CPI was not published for Oct 2025.
How these figures are worked out
Sources, inflation measures and what is left out
- Month-end closes from Nasdaq, Apr 2021 to Oct 2026. Oct 2026 is still in progress, so its figure is the latest close rather than a month-end. Our history for Coinbase starts in Apr 2021, so longer windows are left out.
- Real figures divide by US CPI (BLS, via FRED) or UK CPI (ONS, joined to the ONS long-run RPI before Jan 1988) and are stated in Oct 2026 money. The M2 lens divides by the US M2 money supply (Federal Reserve, via FRED). Pounds convert at each month's GBP/USD rate.
- US CPI is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- UK CPI is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- US M2 is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- Price returns only: dividends are not included, so the total return to a holder who reinvested them was higher.
- A return of 12 months or more also shows its yearly rate. Gaps in a source are left as gaps and never filled in.
Coinbase price history, past year
Daily closes from Nasdaq. Last refreshed .
Where Coinbase stands today
52-week range
- Below the high
- 49.7%
- Above the low
- 29.0%
Coinbase is in the bottom quarter of its 52-week range, 49.7% below the $361.43 high it reached on 27 Oct 2025, and only 42% of the past year's closes were lower than where it trades now.
Moving averages
- 50-day$175.96 +3.4%
- 200-day$183.18 -0.7%
Price compared with each average. Bars to the right mean the price is above it.
Coinbase has climbed back 3.4% above its 50-day average, although it is still 0.7% under the 200-day, so the longer trend has not turned up yet. The 50-day line has stayed below the 200-day on every day since 24 Jun 2026, as far back as our data lets us check.
Trend score
- Trend30
- Momentum44
- RSI score74
- Drawdown1
- Uptrend
- 65 or more
- Sideways
- 36 to 64
- Downtrend
- 35 or less
Rules-based, from 277 daily prices. It describes the trend so far and does not predict the next move. How it works.
Coinbase performance and biggest moves
Returns over time
| Period | COIN | SPY | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | -2.0% | -0.1% | −2.0 pts |
| 1 month | +3.8% | +1.9% | +2.0 pts |
| 3 months | +8.8% | +3.1% | +5.7 pts |
| Year to date | -19.5% | +14.2% | −33.7 pts |
| 1 year | -49.0% | +17.4% | −66.4 pts |
Coinbase is down 49.0% over the past year on price alone, against +17.4% for the S&P 500 (through the SPY fund), so it has trailed that comparison by 66.4 percentage points. Dividends are not included, so the total return for holders would be a little higher.
Best and worst days in the past year
- Days that closed higher
- 43%
- Moves of 3% or more
- 117
The biggest one-day rise since 13 Oct 2025 came on 13 Feb 2026 (+16.5%) and the sharpest fall on 5 Feb 2026 (−13.3%). Of the 251 trading days in that period, 43% closed higher than the day before and 117 moved by 3% or more in one direction or the other.
Is Coinbase overbought, and how volatile is it?
RSI (14-day)
Neutral- Sessions at 70+ (past year)
- 0
- Sessions at 30 or lower
- 13
Coinbase's RSI of 49.6 is near the middle of the scale, which tells us the up and down days of the last three weeks have more or less cancelled each other out. For context, it last fell below 30 on 12 Feb 2026.
Volatility against other US shares
2nd most volatile of 27- Typical daily move
- 4.7%
- Calmest in group
- BRK.B 10.8%
Coinbase's 30-day volatility is 74.2%, which works out at a move of roughly 4.7% on an ordinary day. That makes it the 2nd most volatile of the 27 US shares we track, well above the group median of 23.3%. We use the same 30-day window for every asset so the ranking is like for like, though it shifts as big days drop out of the window.
Coinbase compared with similar assets
| Asset | Price | Today | 1 month | 1 year | RSI | Trend score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COINCoinbase | $181.94 | +0.08% | +3.8% | -49.0% | 50 | 37 Sideways |
| BTCBitcoin | $83,204 | +1.54% | +8.3% | -27.8% | 52 | 78 Uptrend |
| MSTRStrategy (MicroStrategy) | $153.22 | +0.68% | +17.0% | -51.4% | 54 | 59 Sideways |
| IBITBitcoin ETF (IBIT) | $47.25 | +0.25% | +8.0% | -28.2% | 57 | 77 Uptrend |
Over the past year Bitcoin has held up best in this group (−27.8%) and Strategy has been the weakest (−51.4%). Coinbase comes 3rd of 4, 21.3 percentage points behind Bitcoin.
About Coinbase
Coinbase was founded in 2012 and joined Nasdaq through a direct listing in 2021. Trading fees are still a big part of its revenue, so busy crypto markets tend to lift its results.
- Ticker
- COIN
- Type
- Stock
- Sector
- Crypto-linked shares
- Priced in
- USD
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Coinbase: questions people ask
Answers are built from the same live figures shown above, so they change as the price does. Last checked 14 Oct 2026.
Has Coinbase beaten inflation since Apr 2021?
No. Between the April 2021 close and October 2026, Coinbase went down 39.7% in dollars while US consumer prices rose 25.4%, so in today's money it is down 52.0%. A UK holder counting in pounds saw down 37.0%, which comes to down 51.7% once UK CPI is taken out. These are price returns: dividends are not included, so a holder who reinvested them did better.
How has Coinbase done against money printing?
The US M2 money supply grew 15.7% since Apr 2021. M2 counts the cash, current accounts and savings deposits held in the US, so it measures how much new money was created rather than how much shop prices rose. Against it, Coinbase is down 47.9%. In other words the price rose more slowly than the amount of money in circulation.
What is the Coinbase share price today?
The last price we have for Coinbase is $181.94, up 0.1% on the day, as of 23:55 BST on 13 Oct 2026. We get US prices from Nasdaq and during trading hours they can be up to 15 minutes behind, so if you are about to trade you'll want the live quote from your broker rather than ours. Over the last month the shares have moved +3.8% and over the last year −49.0%.
Is Coinbase stock overbought right now?
No, or at least not on the 14-day RSI, which reads 49.6 at the moment. We'd only start calling Coinbase overbought above 70 and it hasn't got there at any point in the past year, while the last time it went the other way and dropped below 30 was 12 Feb 2026. RSI looks back over 14 sessions and asks how much of the movement was up and how much was down, so a reading in the 30s or 40s mostly tells us the past few weeks have been fairly even. It hasn't reached 70 once in the past year, which says the gains it has made came steadily rather than in sharp bursts.
How far is Coinbase from its 52-week high?
About 49.7%, so it would need to rise 98.7% to get back there. The highest close in the past year was $361.43 on 27 Oct 2025 and the lowest was $141.09 on 12 Feb 2026, which puts today's price 19% of the way up that range. We work this out from daily closing prices rather than the intraday highs and lows an exchange reports, so our high can be a little lower than the one you'll see quoted elsewhere.
Is Coinbase above its 200-day moving average?
No, it's 0.7% under it at the moment. Coinbase's last price of $181.94 compares with a 200-day average of $183.18, and the 50-day average of $175.96 is below the 200-day too, which has been true on every day since 24 Jun 2026, as far back as our data goes. We show the 200-day line because it averages about ten months of closing prices, so a single bad week hardly moves it, and when we look at a chart it's the quickest way to see whether a share has been rising or falling over the longer run, even if it can't tell us where the price goes from here.
How volatile is Coinbase stock?
Over the past 30 days Coinbase's annualised volatility has been 74.2%. If that number feels abstract, it works out at roughly a 4.7% move on an ordinary day. It is the 2nd most volatile of the 27 US shares we track and the median for the group is 23.3%, so at the moment it is one of the jumpier ones. The biggest single-day swings of the past year were +16.5% on 13 Feb 2026 and −13.3% on 5 Feb 2026.
Important information
Capital at risk. The value of investments can fall as well as rise and you may get back less than you invest. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Educational information only, not financial advice. Read our disclaimer.
Coinbase: what the numbers say
Claude Haiku ·Coinbase shares are up 0.58% today at $181.44, with the US market open. The stock sits 49.8% below its 52-week closing high of $361.43, set on 27 October 2025, and 28.6% above its closing low of $141.09, recorded on 12 February 2026. The price is just above its 50-day average of $175.9 and just below its 200-day average of $183.2.
Read the full summary Show less
The trend score is 37, a Sideways reading, with momentum at 44 and the trend component at 30. The 14-day RSI stands at 49.2, and the shares have gained 3.53% over the past 30 days. Annualised volatility over the same period is 74.2%, so the stock has swung widely even as it has recovered from its February low. Over the past year, the shares have fallen 49.18%. Bitcoin rose 0.93% in the past 24 hours, Strategy slipped 0.49% today and the Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) gained 0.48% today.
Written by AI from this site's live data and checked figure by figure before publishing. Educational only, not financial advice.