Stock · Oil and gas
ExxonMobil real return vs inflation and money printing XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp. The largest US oil and gas company, producing, refining and selling energy and chemicals.
Key numbers
- 1-month change
- +4.5%
- Volatility (30-day, annualised)
- 23.3%
ExxonMobil real return after inflation and money printing
In dollars and pounds, before and after inflation, since Jan 1985.
+59.7%ExxonMobil after US inflation since 20102.8% a year
Up 148% in dollars since 2010. After US inflation, up 59.7%. Against money printing, down 9.7%.
In pounds, up 203%, or up 85.5% after UK inflation.
- $ nominal
- +148%5.5% a year
- £ nominal
- +203%6.8% a year
- Real $ (US CPI)
- +59.7%2.8% a year
- Real £ (UK CPI)
- +85.5%3.7% a year
- vs US M2
- −9.7%−0.6% a year
- Measured from
- Dec 2009to Oct 2026, 16 years 10 months
- ExxonMobil, Real $ (US CPI)$168.90
- $ nominal$168.90
- Oct 2026, latest
Loading the chart. Every figure is also in the table below.
| Period | $ nominal | £ nominal | Real $ (US CPI) | Real £ (UK CPI) | vs US M2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Past year from Oct 2025 | +47.7% | +46.7% | –a (see note a) | +42.8% | +40.8% |
| 5 years from Oct 2021 | +162% 21.2% a year | +171% 22.1% a year | +116% 16.7% a year | +114% 16.5% a year | +138% 18.9% a year |
| Since 2020 from Dec 2019 | +142% 13.8% a year | +143% 13.9% a year | +85.7% 9.5% a year | +83.4% 9.3% a year | +59.2% 7.0% a year |
| 10 years from Oct 2016 | +103% 7.3% a year | +87.1% 6.5% a year | +46.3% 3.9% a year | +31.9% 2.8% a year | +14.0% 1.3% a year |
| Since 2010 from Dec 2009 | +148% 5.5% a year | +203% 6.8% a year | +59.7% 2.8% a year | +85.5% 3.7% a year | −9.7% −0.6% a year |
| Since 2000 from Dec 1999 | +319% 5.5% a year | +412% 6.3% a year | +111% 2.8% a year | +159% 3.6% a year | −16.6% −0.7% a year |
| Since Jan 1985 first month in our data | +2,716% 8.3% a year | +2,305% 7.9% a year | +787% 5.4% a year | +616% 4.8% a year | +181% 2.5% a year |
- a US CPI was not published for Oct 2025.
How these figures are worked out
Sources, inflation measures and what is left out
- Month-end closes from Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Jan 1985 to Oct 2026. Oct 2026 is still in progress, so its figure is the latest close rather than a month-end. Our history for ExxonMobil starts in Jan 1985, so longer windows are left out.
- Real figures divide by US CPI (BLS, via FRED) or UK CPI (ONS, joined to the ONS long-run RPI before Jan 1988) and are stated in Oct 2026 money. The M2 lens divides by the US M2 money supply (Federal Reserve, via FRED). Pounds convert at each month's GBP/USD rate.
- US CPI is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- UK CPI is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- US M2 is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- Price returns only: dividends are not included, so the total return to a holder who reinvested them was higher.
- A return of 12 months or more also shows its yearly rate. Gaps in a source are left as gaps and never filled in.
ExxonMobil price history, past year
Daily closes from Nasdaq. Last refreshed .
Where ExxonMobil stands today
52-week range
- Below the high
- 0.0%
- Above the low
- 56.8%
ExxonMobil is at its highest close of the past year, above every daily close since 13 Oct 2025. The low point of that year was $110.64 on 16 Oct 2025, so the price has climbed 56.8% from there.
Moving averages
- 50-day$162.27 +6.9%
- 200-day$150.86 +15.0%
Price compared with each average. Bars to the right mean the price is above it.
ExxonMobil is 6.9% above its 50-day average and 15.0% above its 200-day average, so on both the shorter and the longer view the trend we measure is still pointing up. The 50-day line has stayed above the 200-day on every day since 24 Jun 2026, as far back as our data lets us check.
Trend score
- Trend100
- Momentum69
- RSI score73
- Drawdown100
- Uptrend
- 65 or more
- Sideways
- 36 to 64
- Downtrend
- 35 or less
Rules-based, from 277 daily prices. It describes the trend so far and does not predict the next move. How it works.
ExxonMobil performance and biggest moves
Returns over time
| Period | XOM | SPY | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | +5.5% | -0.1% | +5.6 pts |
| 1 month | +4.5% | +1.9% | +2.7 pts |
| 3 months | +20.1% | +3.1% | +16.9 pts |
| Year to date | +44.2% | +14.2% | +30.0 pts |
| 1 year | +54.6% | +17.4% | +37.2 pts |
ExxonMobil is up 54.6% over the past year on price alone, against +17.4% for the S&P 500 (through the SPY fund), so it has beaten that comparison by 37.2 percentage points. Dividends are not included, so the total return for holders would be a little higher.
Best and worst days in the past year
- Days that closed higher
- 56%
- Moves of 3% or more
- 20
The biggest one-day rise since 13 Oct 2025 came on 10 Aug 2026 (+4.4%) and the sharpest fall on 1 Apr 2026 (−5.2%). Of the 251 trading days in that period, 56% closed higher than the day before and 20 moved by 3% or more in one direction or the other.
Is ExxonMobil overbought, and how volatile is it?
RSI (14-day)
Overbought- Sessions at 70+ (past year)
- 26
- Sessions at 30 or lower
- 0
ExxonMobil's RSI is 70.9, above the 70 mark where we'd start calling it overbought, so the last few weeks have been heavily one-way. We don't treat that as a sell signal on its own, partly because ExxonMobil has spent 26 sessions up there in the past year and strong runs often keep going for a while.
Volatility against other US shares
14th most volatile of 27- Typical daily move
- 1.5%
- Calmest in group
- BRK.B 10.8%
ExxonMobil's 30-day volatility is 23.3%, which works out at a move of roughly 1.5% on an ordinary day. That makes it the 14th most volatile of the 27 US shares we track, close to the group median of 23.3%. One very large day, such as an earnings release or a sudden sell-off, can lift a 30-day figure for weeks, so we would read the ranking as this month's picture.
ExxonMobil compared with similar assets
| Asset | Price | Today | 1 month | 1 year | RSI | Trend score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOMExxonMobil | $173.52 | -0.36% | +4.5% | +54.6% | 71 | 85 Uptrend |
| WTIOil (WTI) | $94.30 | +0.60% | -5.7% | +58.5% | 55 | 71 Uptrend |
| JPMJPMorgan | $332.00 | +0.13% | -6.8% | +7.8% | 38 | 52 Sideways |
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | $520.59 | -0.02% | +2.0% | +5.8% | 67 | 82 Uptrend |
Over the past year Oil has done best in this group (+58.5%) and Berkshire Hathaway has been the weakest (+5.8%). ExxonMobil comes 2nd of 4, 3.9 percentage points behind Oil.
About ExxonMobil
ExxonMobil was formed by the 1999 merger of Exxon and Mobil, both descended from Standard Oil. Its profits, and usually its share price, move with oil and natural gas prices.
- Ticker
- XOM
- Type
- Stock
- Sector
- Oil and gas
- Priced in
- USD
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ExxonMobil: questions people ask
Answers are built from the same live figures shown above, so they change as the price does. Last checked 14 Oct 2026.
Has ExxonMobil beaten inflation since 2010?
Yes. From the December 2009 close to October 2026, ExxonMobil went up 148% in dollars. US consumer prices rose 55.1% over the same months, which leaves a real gain of 59.7%, or 2.8% a year after inflation. A UK holder counting in pounds saw up 203%, which comes to up 85.5% once UK CPI is taken out. These are price returns: dividends are not included, so a holder who reinvested them did better.
How has ExxonMobil done against money printing?
The US M2 money supply grew 174% since 2010. M2 counts the cash, current accounts and savings deposits held in the US, so it measures how much new money was created rather than how much shop prices rose. Against it, ExxonMobil is down 9.7%. In other words the price rose more slowly than the amount of money in circulation.
What is ExxonMobil's real return over 10 years?
Over the 10 years to October 2026, ExxonMobil returned 103% in dollars (7.3% a year). After US inflation that is up 46.3%, 3.9% a year. In pounds after UK inflation it is up 31.9%.
What is the ExxonMobil share price today?
The last price we have for ExxonMobil is $173.52, down 0.4% on the day, as of 23:55 BST on 13 Oct 2026. We get US prices from Nasdaq and during trading hours they can be up to 15 minutes behind, so if you are about to trade you'll want the live quote from your broker rather than ours. Over the last month the shares have moved +4.5% and over the last year +54.6%.
Is ExxonMobil stock overbought right now?
Yes, on the 14-day RSI. It reads 70.9, above the 70 line we use as the cut-off for overbought, which means the up days over the last few weeks have been much bigger than the down days. ExxonMobil spent 26 sessions at 70 or above in the past year, which is one reason we don't treat a high reading as a cue to sell: in a strong run it can stay there for weeks.
How far is ExxonMobil from its 52-week high?
It's at the high: today's price is above every daily close in the past year. The highest close in the past year was $173.52 on today and the lowest was $110.64 on 16 Oct 2025, which puts today's price 100% of the way up that range. We work this out from daily closing prices rather than the intraday highs and lows an exchange reports, so our high can be a little lower than the one you'll see quoted elsewhere.
Is ExxonMobil above its 200-day moving average?
It is, and comfortably. ExxonMobil's last price of $173.52 is 15.0% above its 200-day average of $150.86, and the 50-day average of $162.27 is above the 200-day as well, which has been true on every day since 24 Jun 2026, as far back as our data goes. We show the 200-day line because it averages about ten months of closing prices, so a single bad week hardly moves it, and when we look at a chart it's the quickest way to see whether a share has been rising or falling over the longer run, even if it can't tell us where the price goes from here.
How volatile is ExxonMobil stock?
Over the past 30 days ExxonMobil's annualised volatility has been 23.3%. If that number feels abstract, it works out at roughly a 1.5% move on an ordinary day. It is the 14th most volatile of the 27 US shares we track and the median for the group is 23.3%, so at the moment it is about as jumpy as a typical member of the group. The biggest single-day swings of the past year were +4.4% on 10 Aug 2026 and −5.2% on 1 Apr 2026.
Important information
Capital at risk. The value of investments can fall as well as rise and you may get back less than you invest. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Educational information only, not financial advice. Read our disclaimer.
ExxonMobil: what the numbers say
Claude Haiku ·Exxon Mobil shares closed at $174.23 today, up 1.21% on the session. That is the highest closing price of the past year, and the stock now sits 57.5% above its 52-week closing low of $110.64, recorded on 16 October 2025. The price also stands above both its 50-day average of $162.3 and its 200-day average of $150.9.
Read the full summary Show less
The trend score is 85, which the page labels an Uptrend, with momentum at 71 and the 14-day RSI at 71.7. Over the past 30 days the shares have gained 4.96%, and they are up 55.23% over the year. Volatility over the last 30 days runs at an annualised 23.4%. Among related assets, Oil (WTI) gained 0.6% today and Berkshire Hathaway added 0.75%.
Written by AI from this site's live data and checked figure by figure before publishing. Educational only, not financial advice.