Stock · Semiconductors
Intel real return vs inflation and money printing INTC
Intel Corp. Chipmaker that designs and manufactures processors, and is building a contract manufacturing business.
Key numbers
- 1-month change
- +1.0%
- Volatility (30-day, annualised)
- 67.1%
Intel real return after inflation and money printing
In dollars and pounds, before and after inflation, since Jan 1985.
+231%Intel after US inflation since 20107.4% a year
Up 413% in dollars since 2010. After US inflation, up 231%. Against money printing, up 87.1%.
In pounds, up 527%, or up 284% after UK inflation.
- $ nominal
- +413%10.2% a year
- £ nominal
- +527%11.5% a year
- Real $ (US CPI)
- +231%7.4% a year
- Real £ (UK CPI)
- +284%8.3% a year
- vs US M2
- +87.1%3.8% a year
- Measured from
- Dec 2009to Oct 2026, 16 years 10 months
- Intel, Real $ (US CPI)$104.70
- $ nominal$104.70
- Oct 2026, latest
Loading the chart. Every figure is also in the table below.
| Period | $ nominal | £ nominal | Real $ (US CPI) | Real £ (UK CPI) | vs US M2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Past year from Oct 2025 | +162% | +160% | –a (see note a) | +153% | +150% |
| 5 years from Oct 2021 | +114% 16.4% a year | +121% 17.2% a year | +76.4% 12.0% a year | +74.8% 11.8% a year | +93.7% 14.1% a year |
| Since 2020 from Dec 2019 | +74.9% 8.5% a year | +75.4% 8.6% a year | +34.2% 4.4% a year | +32.5% 4.2% a year | +15.0% 2.1% a year |
| 10 years from Oct 2016 | +200% 11.6% a year | +177% 10.7% a year | +117% 8.0% a year | +95.3% 6.9% a year | +68.8% 5.4% a year |
| Since 2010 from Dec 2009 | +413% 10.2% a year | +527% 11.5% a year | +231% 7.4% a year | +284% 8.3% a year | +87.1% 3.8% a year |
| Since 2000 from Dec 1999 | +154% 3.5% a year | +210% 4.3% a year | +27.8% 0.9% a year | +57.0% 1.7% a year | −49.4% −2.5% a year |
| Since Jan 1985 first month in our data | +16,243% 13.0% a year | +13,861% 12.6% a year | +5,047% 9.9% a year | +4,055% 9.3% a year | +1,533% 6.9% a year |
- a US CPI was not published for Oct 2025.
How these figures are worked out
Sources, inflation measures and what is left out
- Month-end closes from Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Jan 1985 to Oct 2026. Oct 2026 is still in progress, so its figure is the latest close rather than a month-end. Our history for Intel starts in Jan 1985, so longer windows are left out.
- Real figures divide by US CPI (BLS, via FRED) or UK CPI (ONS, joined to the ONS long-run RPI before Jan 1988) and are stated in Oct 2026 money. The M2 lens divides by the US M2 money supply (Federal Reserve, via FRED). Pounds convert at each month's GBP/USD rate.
- US CPI is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- UK CPI is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- US M2 is published with a lag: Oct 2026 uses the Aug 2026 figure.
- Price returns only: dividends are not included, so the total return to a holder who reinvested them was higher.
- A return of 12 months or more also shows its yearly rate. Gaps in a source are left as gaps and never filled in.
Intel price history, past year
Daily closes from Nasdaq. Last refreshed .
Where Intel stands today
52-week range
- Below the high
- 26.2%
- Above the low
- 209.3%
Intel sits in the middle part of its range, 209.3% above the $33.62 low from 20 Nov 2025 and 26.2% below the $140.94 high from 22 Jun 2026. About 73% of the year's daily closes were lower than today's price.
Moving averages
- 50-day$103.56 +0.4%
- 200-day$83.70 +24.2%
Price compared with each average. Bars to the right mean the price is above it.
Intel is 0.4% above its 50-day average and 24.2% above its 200-day average, so on both the shorter and the longer view the trend we measure is still pointing up. The 50-day line has stayed above the 200-day on every day since 24 Jun 2026, as far back as our data lets us check.
Trend score
- Trend100
- Momentum59
- RSI score59
- Drawdown48
- Uptrend
- 65 or more
- Sideways
- 36 to 64
- Downtrend
- 35 or less
Rules-based, from 277 daily prices. It describes the trend so far and does not predict the next move. How it works.
Intel performance and biggest moves
Returns over time
| Period | INTC | SPY | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | -7.6% | -0.1% | −7.5 pts |
| 1 month | +1.0% | +1.9% | −0.8 pts |
| 3 months | +1.0% | +3.1% | −2.2 pts |
| Year to date | +181.8% | +14.2% | +167.7 pts |
| 1 year | +179.4% | +17.4% | +162.0 pts |
Intel is up 179.4% over the past year on price alone, against +17.4% for the S&P 500 (through the SPY fund), so it has beaten that comparison by 162.0 percentage points. Dividends are not included, so the total return for holders would be a little higher.
Best and worst days in the past year
- Days that closed higher
- 50%
- Moves of 3% or more
- 117
The biggest one-day rise since 13 Oct 2025 came on 24 Apr 2026 (+23.6%) and the sharpest fall on 23 Jan 2026 (−17.0%). Of the 251 trading days in that period, 50% closed higher than the day before and 117 moved by 3% or more in one direction or the other.
Is Intel overbought, and how volatile is it?
RSI (14-day)
Neutral- Sessions at 70+ (past year)
- 40
- Sessions at 30 or lower
- 0
Intel's RSI of 43.8 is near the middle of the scale, which tells us the up and down days of the last three weeks have more or less cancelled each other out. For context, it last went above 70 on 24 Sept 2026.
Volatility against other US shares
3rd most volatile of 27- Typical daily move
- 4.2%
- Calmest in group
- BRK.B 10.8%
Intel's 30-day volatility is 67.1%, which works out at a move of roughly 4.2% on an ordinary day. That makes it the 3rd most volatile of the 27 US shares we track, well above the group median of 23.3%. One very large day, such as an earnings release or a sudden sell-off, can lift a 30-day figure for weeks, so we would read the ranking as this month's picture.
Intel compared with similar assets
| Asset | Price | Today | 1 month | 1 year | RSI | Trend score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTCIntel | $103.99 | +1.15% | +1.0% | +179.4% | 44 | 72 Uptrend |
| AMDAMD | $609.60 | +0.67% | +18.1% | +181.7% | 57 | 93 Uptrend |
| NVDANVIDIA | $229.24 | +0.32% | +5.0% | +21.7% | 53 | 89 Uptrend |
| AVGOBroadcom | $358.02 | +0.20% | -1.1% | +0.4% | 48 | 49 Sideways |
Over the past year AMD has done best in this group (+181.7%) and Broadcom has been the weakest (+0.4%). Intel comes 2nd of 4, 2.3 percentage points behind AMD.
About Intel
Intel was founded in 1968 and released the first commercial microprocessor in 1971. It is trying to win outside customers for its chip factories, and the US government took a stake of roughly 10% in 2025.
- Ticker
- INTC
- Type
- Stock
- Sector
- Semiconductors
- Priced in
- USD
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Intel: questions people ask
Answers are built from the same live figures shown above, so they change as the price does. Last checked 14 Oct 2026.
Has Intel beaten inflation since 2010?
Yes. From the December 2009 close to October 2026, Intel went up 413% in dollars. US consumer prices rose 55.1% over the same months, which leaves a real gain of 231%, or 7.4% a year after inflation. A UK holder counting in pounds saw up 527%, which comes to up 284% once UK CPI is taken out. These are price returns: dividends are not included, so a holder who reinvested them did better.
How has Intel done against money printing?
The US M2 money supply grew 174% since 2010. M2 counts the cash, current accounts and savings deposits held in the US, so it measures how much new money was created rather than how much shop prices rose. Against it, Intel is up 87.1%.
What is Intel's real return over 10 years?
Over the 10 years to October 2026, Intel returned 200% in dollars (11.6% a year). After US inflation that is up 117%, 8.0% a year. In pounds after UK inflation it is up 95.3%.
What is the Intel share price today?
The last price we have for Intel is $103.99, up 1.1% on the day, as of 23:55 BST on 13 Oct 2026. We get US prices from Nasdaq and during trading hours they can be up to 15 minutes behind, so if you are about to trade you'll want the live quote from your broker rather than ours. Over the last month the shares have moved +1.0% and over the last year +179.4%.
Is Intel stock overbought right now?
No, or at least not on the 14-day RSI, which reads 43.8 at the moment. We'd only start calling Intel overbought above 70 and it hasn't been there since 24 Sept 2026. RSI looks back over 14 sessions and asks how much of the movement was up and how much was down, so a reading in the 30s or 40s mostly tells us the past few weeks have been fairly even. Intel spent 40 sessions at 70 or above in the past year, which is one reason we don't treat a high reading as a cue to sell: in a strong run it can stay there for weeks.
How far is Intel from its 52-week high?
About 26.2%, so it would need to rise 35.5% to get back there. The highest close in the past year was $140.94 on 22 Jun 2026 and the lowest was $33.62 on 20 Nov 2025, which puts today's price 66% of the way up that range. We work this out from daily closing prices rather than the intraday highs and lows an exchange reports, so our high can be a little lower than the one you'll see quoted elsewhere.
Is Intel above its 200-day moving average?
It is, and comfortably. Intel's last price of $103.99 is 24.2% above its 200-day average of $83.70, and the 50-day average of $103.56 is above the 200-day as well, which has been true on every day since 24 Jun 2026, as far back as our data goes. We show the 200-day line because it averages about ten months of closing prices, so a single bad week hardly moves it, and when we look at a chart it's the quickest way to see whether a share has been rising or falling over the longer run, even if it can't tell us where the price goes from here.
How volatile is Intel stock?
Over the past 30 days Intel's annualised volatility has been 67.1%. If that number feels abstract, it works out at roughly a 4.2% move on an ordinary day. It is the 3rd most volatile of the 27 US shares we track and the median for the group is 23.3%, so at the moment it is one of the jumpier ones. The biggest single-day swings of the past year were +23.6% on 24 Apr 2026 and −17.0% on 23 Jan 2026.
Important information
Capital at risk. The value of investments can fall as well as rise and you may get back less than you invest. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Educational information only, not financial advice. Read our disclaimer.
Intel: what the numbers say
Claude Haiku ·Intel shares trade at $102.27 today, up 0.91 per cent with the US market open. The price sits 27.4 per cent below the 52-week closing high of $140.94, reached on 22 June 2026, and 204.2 per cent above the 52-week closing low of $33.62, set on 20 November 2025. Against its averages, the stock sits just below its 50-day average of $103.53 but well above its 200-day average of $83.69. Over the past year, the shares have gained 174.77 per cent.
Read the full summary Show less
The trend score stands at 59, which the page labels Sideways, with the trend component at 70 and momentum at 57. The 14-day RSI is 41.5, and the 30-day change is -0.65 per cent, so recent weakness has been modest. Volatility over 30 days runs at an annualised 66.8 per cent, which keeps daily swings wide. AMD, NVIDIA and Broadcom also rose today, by 0.72, 0.5 and 0.89 per cent respectively.
Written by AI from this site's live data and checked figure by figure before publishing. Educational only, not financial advice.